Why organisations need to be over cautious with weather forecasts

Blog Post by Christina Worsley 05 August 2014

And why we need to give weather forecasters a break.

This weekend whilst some parts of the UK were basked in hot sunny weather, the eastern part of the country suffered heavy downpours, flooding roads and homes. This resulted in people being stranded in vehicles, roads blocked by rising waters and properties damaged by lightning.

 

Lightning

 

More than 40 properties in Canvey Island, Kent, were submerged in knee deep water after more than 60mm of torrential rain fell in a single afternoon.

Did the Met office get it wrong when they predicted storms in other areas that did not materialise? Or do the British public prefer a more over cautious approach?

Climate change predictions indicate that summer flash floods could become the norm due to recent intense downpours.

Would your weekend be a ruined if a storm was predicted but didn’t happen? Or would it be ruined if you had no warning and a storm caused your house to flood?

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I would prefer the more cautious approach so I'm able to plan and prepare for all eventualities.  Flash floods can happen with little or no warning and I believe the weather forecasters are doing a good job. We should see it as a bonus, enjoy a cold drink and ice cream if the forecasters get it wrong and not take them to task on the matter.

As we enjoy this delightful British summer, with temperatures continuing to soar, it's likely to bring with it the risk of heavy showers and thunderstorms. We should all be aware and prepare for these events that may happen when we least expect them to.

 



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